how groups voted in 2016

53% 45% SEX Men 47 49 48 Women 53 56 43 RACE White How Groups Voted in 2008 | Roper Center for Public Opinion Research Skip to main content Race: Most non-white voters were for Clinton. The 2016 presidential exit polling reveals little change in the political alignments of U.S. religious groups. How religious groups voted in the 2016 referendum on Britain’s EU membership. Those who supported Republican candidates in recent elections, such as white born-again or evangelical Christians and white Catholics, strongly supported Donald Trump as well. “Exit Polls 2016.” CNN December 9, 2016. Here’s a complete breakdown of the voter turnout in 2016 presidential election. One way to understand the 2016 election, then, is to note that by making questions of national identity more salient, Donald Trump succeeded in winning over “populists” (socially conservative, economically liberal voters) who had previously voted for Democrats. That seems to have changed for certain groups in 2020—perhaps due to the tremendous emphasis on expanding and promoting mail-in voting due to the COVID-19 pandemic. This group is a more moderate breed: only a third of them identify as liberal, 43 percent as moderate, and 24 percent as conservative. Who really voted in 2016? Catholics were more evenly divided; 52% reported voting … Among over-65s the picture is almost the exact opposite, as 64% of over-65s voted to Leave while only 36% voted to Remain. This page powered by Stata: Software for Statistics and Data Science . Htspanies) N onwhite Non-Hispanic white Nonwhite (incl. Methodology. Exit poll results from National Election Pool. This graph shows the percentage of votes of the 2016 presidential elections in the United States on November 9, 2016, by age. This year, more younger voters chose Biden and older voters were split between the two candidates. Exit polls indicated that the voting electorate in 2016 was 71 percent white, 12 percent black, 11 percent Latino, and 7 percent Asian or other race. https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/politics/2016-election/exit-polls Data for 2016 were collected by Edison Research for the National Election Pool, a consortium of ABC News, The Associated Press, … Protestants constituted about half of the electorate and reported voting for Trump over Clinton by a 56% to 39% margin. While young voters overall were vital to Joe Biden’s electoral victory, young people of color played an especially critical role. All older age groups either reported small yet statistically significant turnout decreases (45- to 64-year-olds and those age 65 and older) or turnout rates not statistically different from 2012 (30- to 44-year-olds). Share page. Sign up for the Data Dive newsletter with quarterly news, data stories and more. White Evangelicals voted heavily for Donald Trump, propelling him to victory in election 2016. A new report examines where polling went wrong in the presidential election. The Washington Post reported that at least 101.9 million people voted through mail-in ballots or at early polling stations in their states. Chris Keane/Reuters Voters' education levels were a stronger predictor of their vote in 2016 than in recent presidential elections. Read our updated privacy policy here. close. Notably that’s much less enthusiastic support for Clinton than the 30-44 age group (54% to 37%). Having trouble accessing information on this website or need materials in an alternate format, contact, Roper Center uses cookies to create a seamless experience for our users. In summary, this how many electoral votes Clinton and Trump might get if the following groups were the only ones allowed to vote: People of Colour*: Clinton 538, Trump: 0; Women: Clinton 461, Trump: 71 Cameron to quit as UK votes to leave EU. Combining education and race gives an even fuller picture. However, in 2016, young voters ages 18 to 29 were the only age group to report increased turnout compared to 2012, with a reported turnout increase of 1.1 percent. This increase in the Millennial voter turnout rate is not only because the generation has grown older (older voters vote at higher rates than younger voters), but also due to a higher turnout rate among its youngest members: … They have been adjusted to match the actual vote count. This is the first of several research releases based on Barna's election survey examining the role of faith in this historic political contest. https://www.americanprogress.org/.../11/01/441926/voter-trends-in-2016 The estimates shown here reflect the responses of 3,888 likely voters. Click the Stata logo to … How Groups of People Voted for President of the United States (Average, 2004-2016) Overall: Democrats 50.1%, Republicans 47.4% II. Item Preview There Is No Preview Available For This Item This item does not appear to have … The survey finds men backed President Trump by eight points while women backed Joe Biden, now the president-elect, by 15 points, both similar to how the groups voted … However, it's not quite as simple as that - this is not real turnout data, and we will in fact never know exactly what proportion of each age group voted. The share of eligible Hispanics who voted held almost constant at 47.6 percent in 2016, compared to 48 percent in 2012. How Groups Voted in 2000. Posted on May 11, 2017 by Ben Clements. The research included a survey of 801 Obama/Trump voters, and focus groups in key swing states. Exit poll results for 2016. How Groups Voted in 2016. By contrast, those making family incomes of less than $50,000 voted Democratic by an 11.5-point margin (55 to 43), compared to an 8.2-point Democratic margin in 2016 (50 to 42). As polls closed nationwide Tuesday night, see how voters from different backgrounds across the nation cast their ballots. In 2016, after then-Republican-nominee Donald Trump ran against Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, the United States Election Project announced that … The most widely used classification scheme for religious traditions is reltrad, and it was followed as closely as possible here based on the classification of denominations The three primary groups of Protestants under reltrad are evangelicals, mainline Protestants, and black Protestants. The voter survey is based on questionnaires completed by 24,537 voters leaving 350 voting places throughout the United States on November 8, 2016, including 4,398 telephone interviews with early and absentee voters. However, in 2016, young voters ages 18 to 29 were the only age group to report increased turnout compared to 2012, with a reported turnout increase of 1.1 percent. Collected by Edison Research for the National Election Pool, a consortium of ABC News, the Associated Press, CBS News, CNN, Fox News and NBC News. Nevertheless, it’s worth unpacking how these two demographic groups voted in 2020, ... Trump won the county by 32 points in 2016, but expanded his edge to 37 points in 2020. Methodology. The impact. Daniel Cox, Robert P. Jones, Ph.D., 10.27.2016. In particular, he attracted overwhelming support among white Evangelicals, who voted for him in higher proportions than the … It also reports the percentage of the electorate each group represented. Curious how many people actually voted on Election Day? College-educated non-white voters, who favour Democrats, were broadly unchanged in their voting patterns compared to 2016. While 45% voted for Trump, Clinton got 26%, Johnson got 13.5%, Evan McMullin got 13%, and Jill Stein got 2.5%. Interviews dates were September 29 and October 13, 2016. In 2016, for example, youth of color with no college experience were less likely to vote by mail than their peers with at least some college experience. How Groups Voted in 1976. Let's take a closer look at how Americans voted, based on exit poll data. “Exit Polls 2016.” CNN December 9, 2016. Education Was A Huge Factor In How People Voted In 2016, But Most State Polls Missed That. More than three quarters (77%) of those who voted to remain thought “the decision we make in the referendum could have disastrous consequences for us … How Religious Americans Voted in Election 2016 Donald Trump won the U.S. presidency on Tuesday with the help of Christian voters. Demographic Group Obama McCain TOTAL All Voters Pct. By Grace Sparks. As in previous elections, voters in 2016 were sharply divided along religious lines. 2012 Presidential Election, Vote by Groups 0b ama NATIONWIDE Men Women White (incl. And here's the young voter breakdown. How Groups Voted in 1980. Data for 2016 were collected by Edison Research for the National Election Pool, a consortium of ABC News, The Associated Press, CBSNews, CNN, Fox News and NBC News. All Rights Reserved. She only garnered 3% more of the vote … How Groups Voted in 1984. Immigration likely made a larger difference in 2016 for women than for men (Figure 5). Disclaimer: This post was written before the 2016 election results, so was a best guess as to how each group would vote. Their turnout rate increased across racial and ethnic groups, with the exception of black Millennials, 50.6% of whom turned out in 2016, compared with 55.0% in 2012. How Groups Voted in 2012. The research included a survey of 801 Obama/Trump voters, and focus groups in key swing states. While roughly a quarter of voters in 2016 described themselves as white, born-again or evangelical Christians (26%), which is unchanged compared with 2012 and 2008, the nearly one-quarter of Catholic voters (23%) may constitute a slight decline in the Catholic share of the electorate, compared with 2012 (25%) and 2008 (27%). A new PrioritiesUSA poll from Global Strategy Group and Garin Hart Yang provides important insight to two voting groups that were critical in the 2016 election: “swing voters” who supported Obama in 2012, and Trump in 2016, and “turnout voters” who voted in 2012, but stayed home in 2016. “Exit Polls 2016.” CNN December 9, 2016. November 14, 2016. Exit poll results for 2016. The sample was restricted to the six primary Asian American groups, comprising 85% of the total U.S. Asian American population: Chinese, Filipinos, Asian Indians, Japanese, Koreans, and Vietnamese. They supported him more than the three previous GOP nominees. 2016 Vote; Combination of positions Share of Electorate Trump Clinton A new PrioritiesUSA poll from Global Strategy Group and Garin Hart Yang provides important insight to two voting groups that were critical in the 2016 election: “swing voters” who supported Obama in 2012, and Trump in 2016, and “turnout voters” who voted in 2012, but stayed home in 2016. This page powered by Stata: Software for Statistics and Data Science. What do exit polls tell us about who voted for Mr Trump and who voted for Mrs ... 9 November 2016. A very small majority of women voted to remain, while men voted to leave. How religious groups voted in the 2016 referendum on Britain’s EU membership. … Black Americans and Latinos are among the more economically marginalized groups in the U.S. and both groups voted overwhelmingly against Donald … Share of all voters who took each position, and how each group voted in the 2016 presidential election. This page powered by Stata: Software for Statistics and Data Science. While exit polls offer an initial indication of how groups voted on election night, they are not perfect. Sign up for the Data Dive newsletter with quarterly news, data stories and more. 2016 Vote; Fiscally conservative positions … Mr Trump won the rural vote by 62% to 34% and the suburban vote by 50% to 45%, while Mrs Clinton won the urban vote by 59% to 35%. Given that this age group was the most likely to vote Remain, this would imply that if turnout had matched that of higher age groups, Remain coudld have triumphed. © 2021 Roper Center, Cornell University. Chris Keane/Reuters Voters' education levels were a stronger predictor of their vote in 2016 than in recent presidential elections. A new report examines where polling went wrong in the presidential election. While white youth voted for Biden by a slim margin (51% to 45%), youth of color gave him overwhelming support, ranging from 73% among Latino youth to 87% among Black youth. Read our updated privacy policy here. How Groups Voted in 1996. It is thus tempting to say that if this group or that group had voted in marginally … As we have for every general election since 1979, Ipsos MORI has produced estimates of how the voters voted in the recent EU referendum. “Don’t know” and “other” responses not included. By continuing to use our website, you consent to the use of cookies in accordance with our, show submenu for Elections and Presidents, show submenu for Publishing with Roper Center Data, show submenu for Polling and Public Opinion, Transparency and Acquisitions Policy​​​​​​​, http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/race/president. Women who favor immigration restriction, and about one-third of them do, voted for Trump at an estimated rate of 86 percent, compared to 2012 when they voted for Romney at about 68 percent, a substantial difference of 18 percentage points. In vote preference is evident across religious groups, but it is crucial to note that Mormons ’ for. 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