texas voter turnout demographics 2020

Your donations make our reporting possible and keep it free for all to access. Turnout. “Texas is still the next frontier,” said Abhi Rahman, the communications director for Texas Democrats. to Registered Voters, Percent Find a complete list of them here. Although Biden received 3% more of the vote than Clinton had, he said, some of that could be attributed to higher-profile third-party candidates that took 4% of the vote in 2016. Progressive activists and the state’s Democratic Party have touted the gains their candidates made, saying “we have marched forward in Texas” even though they “came up short” on some fronts, including failing to flip the state House by winning nine seats. In Hidalgo County, 56.1% of 391,309 registered voters cast ballots, 4.8 percentage points higher turnout than in 2016. Percent of Turnout to VAP. GOP beat Texas Democrats in voter registration, turnout in 2020. Democratic, 1993 - November (Constitutional Amendment), 1992 - Primary, March (Presidential) Republican, 1992 - Primary, March (Presidential) Democratic, 1991 - November (Constitutional Amendment), 1990 - Primary, March (Gubernatorial) Republican, 1990 - Primary, March (Gubernatorial) Turnout also varies by demographic factors, including race and ethnicity, age and gender. - Special, November (Constitutional), 1998 - Primary, March (Gubernatorial) Starr and Zapata counties, where turnout increased about 15 and 6 percentage points, respectively, from 2016, were among a predominantly Hispanic swath along the U.S.-Mexico border that brought some of the worst returns of the night for Biden. In the 2020 election, 159,633,396 people voted. “Voter suppression, plain and simple”: Texas closed hundreds of polling sites in black, Latino areas Counties with largest minority population growth saw … This November, 46.3 percent of Texas' voting-eligible population cast ballots, according to research from the United States Elections Project, which tracks historical trends in turnout nationwide. “So, to see us leading voter turnout nationally across demographics, but specifically in the youth vote … is really incredible.” Correction: A previous version of this article said Tufts researchers' data only included youth voter turnout from 23 Texas … Among those with the highest increase from 2016 were small counties like Mason, where turnout in 2020 was 15.9 percentage points higher, and Zavala, where the percentage point increase from 2016 was 14.9. Republican, 1998 - Primary, March (Gubernatorial) Show all years. What early voting turnout says about Texas in the 2020 election The state is on pace for a record number of voters. Turnout in several border counties was lower than in the state overall, and the region has returned diminishing results for previous Democratic stars like Wendy Davis or Beto O’Rourke. Dem, 1970 - Primary, May (Gubernatorial) Republican, 1970 - Primary, May (Gubernatorial) Democratic. Every newly registered, first-time young voter will be even more prepared to vote in the next election.”. “In 2020, you had nearly-non-[existent] third party candidates and they only managed to combined for 1.4%,” he said in an email. 2020 66.3% 2016 60.1% 2008 Highest turnout since 1960s 61.6% 1960 Highest since 1908 63.8% 1908 Highest since 1900 65.7%. Democratic, 2003 - Special, September (Constitutional), 2002 - Primary, March (Gubernatorial) Democratic, 2001 - Special, November (Constitutional), 2000 - Primary, March (Presidential) Republican, 2000 - Primary, March (Presidential) Democratic, 1999 Here’s a look at voter turnout in the Lone Star State during Decision 2020. With the state’s changing demographics (Texas Latinos are projected to … “A lot of people voted for him because he was not Trump, and normally, if you have that type of dynamic, we’re not going to get as high level turnout.”. “By Election Day, Texas had effectively run out of votes,” he said. Voter Turnout By State 2020. “Any pundit who claims ‘Democrats lost Texas’ can’t see the forest for the trees,” said Texas Democratic Party Chair Gilberto Hinojosa. This is the largest voter turnout in U.S. … Turnout and Voter Registration Figures (1970-current) 2020 – November (Presidential) Registered Voters. 8,077,795. 76.54. “That is a problem for Democrats who hoped to harness the Latino vote,” he said. “But when Texas mobilizes … at least in this election, it didn’t turn that much bluer.”. 59.5. Financial supporters play no role in the Tribune's journalism. Biden won Tuesday with smaller-than-expected cushions in other border counties like Hidalgo, where he got under 60% of the vote compared with the roughly 70% Clinton received in 2016. Texas’ 2016 VEP Turnout Two Drop Off Points to Address: 2.3 Million Eligible Voters Never Registered 6.1 Million Registered Voters Did Not Turn Out Source: Author’s graphic using data from McDonald, Michael P. ( ì í). " Texas Gov. Percent of Turnout to Registered. ... Mon 26 Oct 2020 11.18 EDT. 2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary; Candidate Popular vote Delegates Count … These changes to turnout and demographics are some of the unique aspects of a presidential election that, despite the COVID-19 pandemic, was ultimately a high turnout election. Dan Glickman and Alan Solomont write that young voters, ages 18-29, were a dominant factor in the 2018 midterms, and are poised to shape elections in 2020 and beyond. Presidential Republican Primary Election (March) 2008 - Primary, March (Presidential) Republican. While Democrats siphoned off historically Republican votes in some cities and suburbs, President Donald Trump won the state with roughly the same percentage of the vote that he won in 2016. About 66% of registered voters cast ballots this year. 2020 Money. 45.55. But more voters didn’t always augur good news for Democrats. Normally, the early voting period runs for 12 days and includes just one weekend. In Texas, at least 66% of the 17 million registered voters cast ballots in the 2020 general election. Also, voter turnout in the U.S. is not a constant: It can and does change from one election to the next. Democrats have said for years that Texas is a nonvoting state that could flip blue with massive voter turnout. The share of registered voters who cast a ballot was higher in 2008 than four years ago, for example. That’s 6.6 percentage points higher than total turnout in 2016. ... Other states with the lowest voter turnout include West Virginia, Tennessee, Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, New Mexico, and Arizona – each of which had less than 55% of the eligible population place their votes in the presidential election. “He didn’t get that same type of passion and that same type of energy,” Cross said. Voters waited in line at the Austin Central Library before polls opened on Election Day. The Texas early voting period this year runs for 18 days, from Tuesday, October 13, 2020 to Friday, October 30, 2020 and includes two weekends. “The more people that vote, the more it will reflect” that. Derek Ryan, a Republican consultant and voter data analyst, had predicted 12 million people would vote in Texas, and some 11 million did — most of them by mail or during the lengthy early voting period instead of on Election Day. of Turnout to Registered Voters, Percent of Turnout to Registered Brandon Rottinghaus, a political science professor at the University of Houston, said growth in the turnout rate was “strong but not stellar,” with a sizable portion of the electorate still sitting the process out. Voting Age Population (VAP) 21,596,071. As of Monday afternoon, 7,376,276 Texas voters had cast ballots – more than 82% of the entire 2016 vote, a higher percentage than any other state. Still, Texas turnout was below the national average – 44th out of 51 states (plus the District of Columbia). waii) have higher voter turnout than Texas and most surpass the national average for turnout. HOUSTON – Record numbers of voters in Texas are casting their ballots during early voting. 16,955,519. Among voters with a bachelor’s degree or more, turnout in 2020 was 80%, up from 76% in 2016. (Gubernatorial) Republican, 2002 - Primary, March Biden, however, wasn’t like Beto, Cross said. Overall, voter turnout among the voter-eligible population increased from 28.3% in the 2014 midterm election to 46.3% - the sixth-highest turnout increase in the United States, and higher than the turnout increase nationwide. ì í November General Election Turnout Rates" United States Elections Project & Texas Secretary of State *Turnout reported in Turnout also leapt in fast-growing Hays County, outside liberal Austin, which swung for Biden and saw 71.2% of registered voters turn out, an 11.7 percentage point increase from 2016. From coronavirus concerns to changing demographics of new voters, ... How Texas went from low voter turnout to nation's top early voting state. In the meantime, on this page you will find: Historical voter turnout rates. Willacy and Cameron counties saw 2.1 and 5.3 percentage point increases in turnout from last cycle, respectively, with less than 52% of registered voters casting ballots. Nov. 4, 20207 PM Central. Rep, 1972 - Primary, May (Presidential/Gubernatorial) But it is Texas leading the pack this year. Turnout surged among Asian American, Latino or Hispanic, and non-college white voters. (Presidential) Republican, 2005 - Special, November (Constitutional), 2004 - Primary, March (Presidential) Statewide turnout increased by at least 6 percentage points this year compared with 2016, and virtually all of the state’s 254 counties saw turnout tick up. A post-2016 presidential election survey reported that al-most a third of registered, nonvoting Texans Support our nonprofit newsroom by May 11, and your gift will help us unlock $25,000 in matching funds from our partners at Tito's Handmade Vodka, the Bernard & Audre Rapoport Foundation and the Suzanne Deal Booth Charitable Trust. Civic enthusiasm and a long early voting period — extended due to the coronavirus pandemic — prompted voters to get “it over with,” said Mark Jones, a Rice University political science professor, explaining the massive early vote. As a share of the voting-eligible population. Millennials and Gen Zers are Breaking Voter Turnout Records in Texas By the end of early voting, 1 million voters under the age of 30 had cast their ballot. “Texans will turn out to vote when they have a competitive election,” as in both 1992 and 2020, Jones said. Democratic, 1989 - November (Constitutional Amendment), 1988 - Primary, March (Presidential) Republican, 1988 - Primary, March (Presidential) Democratic, 1987 - November (Constitutional Amendment Election), 1986 - Primary, May (Gubernatorial) Republican, 1986 - Primary, May (Gubernatorial) Democratic, 1985 - November (Constitutional Amendment Election), 1984 - Primary, May (Presidential) Republican, 1984 - Primary, May (Presidential) Democratic, 1983 - November (Constitutional Amendment Election), 1982 - Primary, May (Gubernatorial) Republican, 1982 - Primary, May (Gubernatorial) Democratic, 1981 - November (Constitutional Amendment Election), 1980 - Primary, May (Presidential) Republican, 1980 - Primary, May (Presidential) Democratic, 1979 - November (Constitutional Amendment Election), 1978 - Primary, May (Gubernatorial) Republican, 1978 - Primary, May (Gubernatorial) Democratic, 1977 - November (Constitutional Amendment Election), 1976 - Primary, May (Presidential) Republican, 1976 - Primary, May (Presidential) Democratic, 1974 - Primary, May (Gubernatorial) Republican, 1974 - Primary, May (Gubernatorial) Democratic, 1972 - Primary, May (Presidential/Gubernatorial) “This is not traditionally a voter turnout state,” he said. Republican, 2004 - Primary, March (Presidential) “Texas has changed somewhat, but it hasn’t changed from its basic nature,” said longtime lobbyist Bill Miller. “Ultimately, high turnout is good, but Democrats need a port to dock their boat, and they didn’t have it.”. That’s 6.6 percentage points higher than total turnout in 2016. by Shannon Najmabadi and Mandi Cai Disclosure: Bill Miller, Rice University and the University of Houston have been financial supporters of The Texas Tribune, a nonprofit, nonpartisan news organization that is funded in part by donations from members, foundations and corporate sponsors. In a new report about the 2020 election, Texas Democrats concede that Republicans won the state's turnout battle by doing in-person voter outreach despite the coronavirus pandemic. But although the 2020 presidential election brought more turnout than Texas has seen in almost 30 years, no blue wave washed across the state. Will they turn Texas blue? Through the shifting demographics in Texas, amplified by Texas Democrats’ aggressive voter registration initiatives, we anticipate the voter rolls will swell to upwards of 18,000,000 registered voters in 2020. November 2020 Texas Voter Turnout First Look. That is 64.1 percent of the total votes cast in 2020. In non-presidential election years, the highest office on the ballot varies from state to state. 2008 - Primary, March This page will be updated following the 2020 general election to provide an analysis of voter turnout by state. A record-shattering number of voters who cast early ballots projected a fervor that did not carry over to Election Day, when just 13% of the total votes were cast at polling locations. That made it the highest turnout election in Texas since 1992, when George H. W. Bush and the third-party candidacy of Dallas icon Ross Perot Jr. helped draw out 73% of registered voters (47.6% of the voting age population) and has since become a high-water mark for voter mobilization in the state. The turnout among Latino voters was relatively flat, he said, and the number of new younger voters was not high enough to substantially help left-leaning candidates. Democratic, 1997 - Special, November (Constitutional), 1996 - Primary, March (Presidential) Republican, 1996 - Primary, March (Presidential) Democratic, 1994 - Primary, March (Gubernatorial) Republican, 1994 - Primary, March (Gubernatorial) Increased turnout wasn’t necessarily a boon for Democrats, he said — citing the fact that Trump earned a similar share of the vote in 2016 and 2020, according to his analysis. Texas Citizens Percent of U.S. Citizens; All Citizens: 54.1%: 59.5%: Age: 18-24: 32.1: 36.1: 25-44: 52.7: 56.1: 45-64: 62.9: 67.8: 65-75: 67.2: 72.2 >75: 60.1: 66.2: Gender: Male: 53.1: 58.1: Female: 55.1: 60.7: Educational Attainment: Grade School or Some High School: 32.1: 38.5: High School Graduate: 46.6: 52.5: Some College: 57.4: 63.1: Four Yr. College Graduate: 76.4: 75.4: Advanced Degree: 81.8: 81.9: … SAN ANTONIO — Texas Democrats conceded that Republicans won the state's turnout battle in the 2020 election by staying in the field despite the coronavirus pandemic, while the state's Democrats relied on digital and more unreliable telephone contact with voters.. Reasons for nonvoting vary. The Census Bureau’s estimates confirm the general perception that 2020 voter turnout was very high, at 66.8%. “We have been making ground year, after year, after year, because we have been fighting for this. Early voting ends on Oct. 30. Innovation. Renée Cross, senior director of the University of Houston’s Hobby School of Public Affairs, said the increase in turnout statewide was “pretty major” considering the state’s “problem has always been that folks just don’t vote.” The polarization of national politics and a potentially backfired effort to limit voter access to the polls — making “people even more determined to turn out” — could have been among the factors that contributed to an increase, she said. In rural Starr, 51.3% of voters cast ballots — with 47% voting for Trump, compared with 19% in 2016. In Texas, at least 66% of the 17 million registered voters cast ballots in the 2020 general election. Black voter turnout will reach 19,554,123, or 12.4%, while Hispanic turnout will rise to 14,778,867, or 9.4%. All ... high voter turnout historically bodes well for Texas Democrats. Biden lost Zapata, a county presidential contender Hillary Clinton won with a 33-point margin in 2016, and where former President Barack Obama garnered a 43-point margin in 2012. Various applications including SOSDirect will be unavailable on Friday, May 7th from 6 p.m. until Sunday, May 9th at 11:59 p.m. Voting Issues for Texas Evacuees Due to Natural Disasters, Percent of Turnout The total number of mail-in ballots was 65,642,049. Voters. In fact, voter turnout among the VEP averages 64% in the states with same day reg-istration compared to Texas’ 51.4%. In the last midterm election in 2014, Texas' 28.9 percent turnout was less than 1 percentage point higher than dead-last Indiana's, according to ... www.pewtrusts.org A TCU political science professor weighs in on what we know and don't know. Percentage of VAP Registered. With just 57% of precincts reporting Tuesday night, Texas surpassed its 1.4 million vote total from the 2016 Democratic primary. 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